Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06e80fd959addfe5f10bc08aadc1ea92c8b0ef6215389b7f6f5ad3a9a6020daa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Tech Red Raidersof Iowa State Cyclones, Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 764.15$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.51 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 55c | 544.14$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.86 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Iowa State Cyclones | 46c | 520.44$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iowa State Cyclones | 45c | 394.71$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.95 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Iowa State Cyclones | 46c | 267.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Iowa State Cyclones | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 247.83$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 198.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 197.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iowa State Cyclones | 48c | 184.06$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Iowa State Cyclones | 47c | 117.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 55c | 66.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Iowa State Cyclones | 49c | 59.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Iowa State Cyclones | 46c | 36.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 55c | 22.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 46c | 21.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-10.5)this page
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-9.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Iowa State CyclonesTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 145.5Over won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.