Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ball State Cardinals vs. Northern Illinois Huskies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3347d1d8091d290c477249053e8a9a22f4bd468890a6ae12c4d0355f55a0ee2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ball State Cardinalsof Ball State Cardinals, Northern Illinois Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Ball State Cardinals | 49c | 48,637$24,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,608.92 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 50c | 17,420$8,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,710.03 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 10,360$5,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,283.39 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 7,799$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.58 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 4,119$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.52 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 39c | 2,496$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.27 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 1,669$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.41 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 50c | 1,133$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.37 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 991.25$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.54 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 805.89$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.2 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ball State Cardinals | 65c | 678.57$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.67 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 44c | 675.62$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.61 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 52c | 628.78$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.97 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 583.09$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.37 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 495.63$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ball State Cardinals | 51c | 391.56$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 53c | 280.55$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ball State Cardinals | 77c | 270.18$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 17c | 265.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 50c | 251.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 52c | 250.61$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ball State Cardinals | 48c | 228.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…6875backed Ball State Cardinals | 74c | 153.63$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Ball State Cardinals | 73c | 134.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed Ball State Cardinals | 75c | 132.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 121.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…9b05backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 12c | 106.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ball State Cardinals | 68c | 101.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 26c | 99.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f5…e67ebacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Ball State Cardinals | 47c | 98.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 98.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Ball State Cardinals | 47c | 94.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked Ball State Cardinals | 62c | 91.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 28c | 88.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 50c | 77.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…49d2backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 14c | 73.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Ball State Cardinals | 75c | 66.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453f…6b3bbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 65.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 63.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ball State Cardinals | 47c | 49.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…7f10backed Ball State Cardinals | 72c | 41.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 28c | 40.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 38.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Ball State Cardinals | 46c | 36.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Ball State Cardinals | 47c | 35.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Ball State Cardinals | 74c | 32.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 30.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Ball State Cardinals | 46c | 28.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 24.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Ball State Cardinals | 46c | 21.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ball State Cardinals | 67c | 19.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Northern Illinois Huskiesthis page
- Ball State Cardinals vs. Northern Illinois Huskies: O/U 132.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.