Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego Toreros vs. Oregon State Beavers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98facf5430d182af92a05f076924ab729681e4b567b5d49a70df1afabef2bf17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregon State Beaversof San Diego Toreros, Oregon State Beavers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked San Diego Toreros | 13c | 5,202$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.72 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked San Diego Toreros | 37c | 2,935$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.54 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Oregon State Beavers | 79c | 2,883$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.03 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oregon State Beavers | 71c | 2,796$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.05 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked San Diego Toreros | 30c | 1,579$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.68 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…3f7fbacked San Diego Toreros | 8c | 869.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Oregon State Beavers | 72c | 866.8$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.7 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oregon State Beavers | 77c | 795.24$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked San Diego Toreros | 28c | 686.12$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.11 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Toreros | 43c | 505.29$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.13 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Diego Toreros | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Oregon State Beavers | 73c | 483.15$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed San Diego Toreros | 7c | 456.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked San Diego Toreros | 26c | 424.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Diego Toreros | 34c | 417.48$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed San Diego Toreros | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oregon State Beavers | 79c | 376.69$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Oregon State Beavers | 79c | 340.06$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Oregon State Beavers | 74c | 302.01$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed San Diego Toreros | 25c | 301.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed San Diego Toreros | 16c | 289.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon State Beavers | 67c | 234.26$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oregon State Beavers | 73c | 211$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked San Diego Toreros | 33c | 208.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Oregon State Beavers | 73c | 201.34$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Toreros | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 60c | 154$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…db11backed Oregon State Beavers | 78c | 145.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Toreros | 33c | 141.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Oregon State Beavers | 71c | 131$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…c9eebacked Oregon State Beavers | 73c | 127.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Diego Toreros | 17c | 115.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed San Diego Toreros | 16c | 113.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked San Diego Toreros | 24c | 113.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…be9abacked San Diego Toreros | 27c | 98.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed San Diego Toreros | 22c | 87.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Diego Toreros | 21c | 84.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed San Diego Toreros | 14c | 81.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Oregon State Beavers | 71c | 80.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked San Diego Toreros | 29c | 77.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed San Diego Toreros | 24c | 64.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oregon State Beavers | 72c | 64.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed San Diego Toreros | 31c | 64.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked San Diego Toreros | 21c | 59.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Oregon State Beavers | 74c | 58.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Oregon State Beavers | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Oregon State Beavers | 75c | 50.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Oregon State Beavers | 73c | 49.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oregon State Beavers | 72c | 46.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Oregon State Beavers | 69c | 43.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked San Diego Toreros | 32c | 40.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Oregon State Beavers | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked San Diego Toreros | 27c | 37.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked San Diego Toreros | 34c | 32.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Oregon State Beavers | 76c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked San Diego Toreros | 34c | 32.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Oregon State Beavers | 79c | 30.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1143…ec5fbacked Oregon State Beavers | 62c | 27.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba5…f080backed Oregon State Beavers | 73c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Oregon State Beavers | 76c | 26.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Oregon State Beavers | 70c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Oregon State Beavers | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Toreros vs. Oregon State Beaversthis page
- San Diego Toreros vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Oregon State Beavers (-6.5)Oregon State Beavers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.