TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

DePaul Blue Demons vs. Creighton Bluejays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DePaul Blue Demonsof DePaul Blue Demons, Creighton Bluejays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Creighton Bluejays50c4,041$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.873,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de7…f96dbacked Creighton Bluejays1c2,942$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4260%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked DePaul Blue Demons41c2,263$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.825,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Creighton Bluejays20c1,838$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.4531837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Creighton Bluejays39c1,711$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.222,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays65c1,622$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.3112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed DePaul Blue Demons30c1,542$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.35,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Creighton Bluejays63c1,457$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.062,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Creighton Bluejays71c1,341$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.474,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Creighton Bluejays69c1,290$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.951,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Creighton Bluejays55c1,230$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.5934943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed DePaul Blue Demons26c923.08$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.584025%10 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked DePaul Blue Demons50c895.12$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.291,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Creighton Bluejays64c830.44$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.6811252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked DePaul Blue Demons26c794.39$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.274,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Creighton Bluejays78c680.11$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.6425254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Creighton Bluejays76c630.85$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.782,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Creighton Bluejays64c545.37$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.521,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked DePaul Blue Demons36c520.19$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.7255532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed DePaul Blue Demons30c516.57$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.2742934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Creighton Bluejays67c449.85$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.922347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed DePaul Blue Demons38c443.68$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.0879448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Creighton Bluejays64c431.49$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.1644549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed DePaul Blue Demons37c395.26$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed DePaul Blue Demons76c372.52$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.52860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Creighton Bluejays57c348.7$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9439742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed DePaul Blue Demons48c309.27$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.8272248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked DePaul Blue Demons36c308.35$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.352147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked DePaul Blue Demons36c297.57$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.062,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed DePaul Blue Demons37c297.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Creighton Bluejays27c283.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.476235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed DePaul Blue Demons32c250.3$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.951,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed DePaul Blue Demons36c240.45$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8910753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed DePaul Blue Demons21c236.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18753635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked DePaul Blue Demons35c233.94$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.092,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad5b…d645backed DePaul Blue Demons68c226.43$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.172259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Creighton Bluejays68c211.89$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0955840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Creighton Bluejays72c207.65$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.619057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked DePaul Blue Demons33c199.62$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.021,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Creighton Bluejays50c188.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.051,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Creighton Bluejays27c175.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.722,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DePaul Blue Demons36c170.57$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8324748.2%119 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed DePaul Blue Demons35c155.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3314447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Creighton Bluejays50c153.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.575141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked DePaul Blue Demons35c142.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.854,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Creighton Bluejays70c141.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2717062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Creighton Bluejays73c132.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.370349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed DePaul Blue Demons36c132.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5562140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a1…b711backed DePaul Blue Demons29c131.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.36per pick27cpaid+128.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked DePaul Blue Demons40c131.23$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5110347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Creighton Bluejays59c125.95$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.251,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Creighton Bluejays65c106.83$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4435646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed Creighton Bluejays66c105.03$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4514448.6%70 W · 74 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Creighton Bluejays64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6449157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed DePaul Blue Demons37c99.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0116721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed DePaul Blue Demons70c94.45$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.61,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DePaul Blue Demons20c94.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.881,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Creighton Bluejays47c89.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.261,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Creighton Bluejays23c89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2884854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked DePaul Blue Demons30c80$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.471655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad3e…2c44backed DePaul Blue Demons36c78.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.151560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a2b…cb3abacked DePaul Blue Demons32c77.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.496549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed DePaul Blue Demons40c68.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2319348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Creighton Bluejays52c68.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7136535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed DePaul Blue Demons72c59.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6822157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed DePaul Blue Demons20c53.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7470936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked DePaul Blue Demons44c53.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.113135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-37.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed DePaul Blue Demons24c50.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.271,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed DePaul Blue Demons33c42.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Creighton Bluejays64c41.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7481528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…49d2backed DePaul Blue Demons51c41.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.044151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Creighton Bluejays51c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Creighton Bluejays64c38.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0715066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed DePaul Blue Demons36c37.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.765248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed DePaul Blue Demons35c36.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.953520%7 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed DePaul Blue Demons35c36.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.55759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Creighton Bluejays63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.939050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed Creighton Bluejays75c26.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8713565.9%89 W · 46 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Creighton Bluejays65c26.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9429954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Creighton Bluejays65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Creighton Bluejays78c15.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.118557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.