Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd726978383fe4998e337f77879380ddef6b7296cfbe9fe7ce76ce397d44295ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DePaul Blue Demonsof Creighton Bluejays, DePaul Blue Demons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x021c…232fbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 54c | 3,866$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.48 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked DePaul Blue Demons | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.83 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 1,878$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.93 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 1,628$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed DePaul Blue Demons | 52c | 571.88$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 456.71$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.23 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Creighton Bluejays | 51c | 416.33$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.33 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 54c | 327.54$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 148.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 99.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Creighton Bluejays | 49c | 72.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Creighton Bluejays | 52c | 22.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-4.5)this page
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Creighton BluejaysDePaul Blue Demons won
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-3.5)DePaul Blue Demons won
- Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-5.5)DePaul Blue Demons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.