TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Georgia Southern Eagles vs. James Madison Dukes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
James Madison Dukesof Georgia Southern Eagles, James Madison Dukes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Georgia Southern Eagles23c2,099$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.151,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked James Madison Dukes53c1,167$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.95,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Georgia Southern Eagles33c992.28$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6510622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked James Madison Dukes61c655.67$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.091,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Georgia Southern Eagles26c572.88$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.913,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Georgia Southern Eagles31c550.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.291,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked James Madison Dukes67c508.16$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.582,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Georgia Southern Eagles33c499.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked James Madison Dukes67c456.85$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked James Madison Dukes69c441.67$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.921,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ac…8fc5backed James Madison Dukes69c431.53$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.777044.3%31 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Georgia Southern Eagles31c314.34$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4455532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…eec3backed Georgia Southern Eagles32c312.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.034341.9%18 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked James Madison Dukes68c289.55$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.662,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked James Madison Dukes62c258.93$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0577142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Georgia Southern Eagles48c256.19$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2549345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed James Madison Dukes68c251.96$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.222,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed James Madison Dukes69c214.46$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Georgia Southern Eagles53c199.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Georgia Southern Eagles32c199.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Georgia Southern Eagles36c199.14$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.739742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Georgia Southern Eagles31c198.68$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.591,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked James Madison Dukes65c189.22$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4171655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed James Madison Dukes40c168.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.145540%22 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1c9…cf27backed James Madison Dukes70c154.49$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.116555.4%36 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Georgia Southern Eagles33c153.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3192246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed James Madison Dukes68c149.85$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.261,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed James Madison Dukes67c146.89$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9649157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked James Madison Dukes58c116.7$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.524,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked James Madison Dukes68c79.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3435646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Georgia Southern Eagles51c68.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9270349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed James Madison Dukes69c57.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8462140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Georgia Southern Eagles34c53.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.871,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed James Madison Dukes62c52.82$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.231,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed James Madison Dukes62c50.01$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1993247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed James Madison Dukes69c49.63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3864658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Georgia Southern Eagles36c44.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked James Madison Dukes57c43.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.78834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Georgia Southern Eagles33c39.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.181528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Georgia Southern Eagles31c39.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2770936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Georgia Southern Eagles34c37.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93520%7 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked James Madison Dukes66c32.35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa590…1d07backed James Madison Dukes68c29.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.34887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed James Madison Dukes58c28.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.022,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed James Madison Dukes68c23.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7619860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed James Madison Dukes44c22.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7727055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked James Madison Dukes69c20.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4635650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.