Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Hofstra Pride
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec61eff4937e199ef7626b41ec33ce6d0f3dc892241817b85d7cdcb1df4946a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hofstra Prideof Stony Brook Seawolves, Hofstra Pride
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 13c | 7,439$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.1 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 14c | 2,991$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.23 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 14c | 2,858$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.11 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 14c | 2,138$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.74 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 5c | 1,811$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 14c | 1,522$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb8…536fbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 17c | 1,219$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 17c | 1,201$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.84 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 5c | 1,091$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 15c | 530.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 14c | 381.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 12c | 314.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 14c | 298.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 8c | 274.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Hofstra Pride | 75c | 261.1$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 13c | 242$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 14c | 227.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 14c | 215.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 11c | 147.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 14c | 142.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 14c | 106.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 13c | 99.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 12c | 90.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 14c | 87.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 24c | 49.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Hofstra Pridethis page
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Hofstra Pride: O/U 138.5Under won
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Hofstra Pride: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.