TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Illinois State Redbirds vs. Northern Iowa Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Illinois State Redbirdsof Illinois State Redbirds, Northern Iowa Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers72c3,777$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.892,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northern Iowa Panthers53c2,988$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.321,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Illinois State Redbirds56c2,933$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.965,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Illinois State Redbirds29c2,509$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.4412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Iowa Panthers61c2,454$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.33,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Northern Iowa Panthers70c1,568$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.521,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Illinois State Redbirds44c1,545$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.9731837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Northern Iowa Panthers72c1,274$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.242,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Northern Iowa Panthers72c1,274$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.2144549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Illinois State Redbirds28c1,100$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79225130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Iowa Panthers39c965.13$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.961,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Illinois State Redbirds59c925.32$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.3846446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Illinois State Redbirds33c907.94$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.455,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Illinois State Redbirds34c892.94$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.3310622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Illinois State Redbirds52c828.76$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.43,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Illinois State Redbirds45c828.2$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.5293247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Northern Iowa Panthers56c664.24$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.392,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Illinois State Redbirds30c655.19$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.281,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Northern Iowa Panthers51c631.23$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.3972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Illinois State Redbirds47c556.53$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.11,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Illinois State Redbirds30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Illinois State Redbirds28c485.77$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.9421646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Illinois State Redbirds41c442.72$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.94,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Illinois State Redbirds28c427.22$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8755532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Illinois State Redbirds30c402.02$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.4258652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Illinois State Redbirds30c400.82$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.5824737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0606…1d57backed Northern Iowa Panthers59c400$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2372532%8 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Northern Iowa Panthers46c310.94$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.41,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1078…b0a2backed Northern Iowa Panthers51c281.01$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7450%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Illinois State Redbirds40c280.96$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.151,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Northern Iowa Panthers70c266.32$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.712,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Illinois State Redbirds30c248.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.651,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Iowa Panthers38c234.61$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.152,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Illinois State Redbirds30c216.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Illinois State Redbirds30c209.45$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.613748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Northern Iowa Panthers69c200.01$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3449157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Illinois State Redbirds31c199.24$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.481,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Illinois State Redbirds30c198.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9738837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Northern Iowa Panthers40c188.73$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.821,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Northern Iowa Panthers69c183.22$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4225946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad5b…d645backed Northern Iowa Panthers68c148.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.942259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Northern Iowa Panthers70c142.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9370349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers70c141.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.27837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+50.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Northern Iowa Panthers70c140.94$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3643053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Illinois State Redbirds33c138.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1116721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Illinois State Redbirds30c134.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2212846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Illinois State Redbirds46c132.88$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6732246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Northern Iowa Panthers70c130.51$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3692246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Illinois State Redbirds65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3514354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Illinois State Redbirds37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Northern Iowa Panthers35c99.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7243450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Northern Iowa Panthers69c79.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9911051.8%57 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Illinois State Redbirds33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.769747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Northern Iowa Panthers67c75.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.740755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba8…11a2backed Northern Iowa Panthers72c72.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.252955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Illinois State Redbirds28c70.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3270936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Illinois State Redbirds55c70.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.042,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc14d…f8b4backed Northern Iowa Panthers46c66.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.735933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers64c64.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.464,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Illinois State Redbirds39c57.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3318439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Northern Iowa Panthers64c52.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3820834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Northern Iowa Panthers68c49.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7464658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Northern Iowa Panthers68c49.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.48055%44 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Illinois State Redbirds33c45.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2220024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Illinois State Redbirds66c44.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9139742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Illinois State Redbirds33c43.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.062240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Illinois State Redbirds32c40.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.413520%7 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.239050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed Illinois State Redbirds27c39.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.533517.1%6 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Illinois State Redbirds36c37.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1684854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Illinois State Redbirds33c32.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.81,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Northern Iowa Panthers47c30.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4435650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Illinois State Redbirds50c29.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8531666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Illinois State Redbirds49c24.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Northern Iowa Panthers68c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9315066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.