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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Mary's Gaelsof Santa Clara Broncos, Saint Mary's Gaels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Saint Mary's Gaels69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.9912364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Santa Clara Broncos31c6,717$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.021,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Saint Mary's Gaels61c3,075$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.682,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Saint Mary's Gaels74c2,495$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.1634943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Santa Clara Broncos20c2,006$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.7726740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Santa Clara Broncos33c1,815$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.814,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Santa Clara Broncos31c1,747$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.5274152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Santa Clara Broncos34c1,338$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.471,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c3…3f7fbacked Santa Clara Broncos7c1,299$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.73214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-73.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Saint Mary's Gaels55c1,059$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.7723941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Santa Clara Broncos4c1,056$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.931363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Santa Clara Broncos31c992.51$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.6810622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Saint Mary's Gaels71c979.01$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.5649345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Santa Clara Broncos28c941.48$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.085,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Saint Mary's Gaels68c897.75$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Saint Mary's Gaels69c755.7$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2721646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Santa Clara Broncos15c697.51$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5742934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Saint Mary's Gaels73c650$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.51,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Santa Clara Broncos43c649.39$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.962,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Santa Clara Broncos31c640.33$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.51,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Santa Clara Broncos24c630.71$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.414151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Santa Clara Broncos24c604.63$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.64,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Santa Clara Broncos3c600.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98626.5%4 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels67c570.13$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2337441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Santa Clara Broncos31c564.9$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Santa Clara Broncos31c559.66$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.662,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Santa Clara Broncos32c484.47$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.531,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Santa Clara Broncos31c410.14$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2555532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Santa Clara Broncos10c398.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.871637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Santa Clara Broncos31c353.51$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5958652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Saint Mary's Gaels69c322$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Santa Clara Broncos31c297.75$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.32,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Santa Clara Broncos32c297.72$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Santa Clara Broncos43c291.63$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.153,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Saint Mary's Gaels51c280.52$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4672248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Santa Clara Broncos30c239.83$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0477142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe86d…c9eebacked Saint Mary's Gaels71c232.74$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.623473.5%25 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Santa Clara Broncos31c214.66$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5492246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Santa Clara Broncos21c211.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.975,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Santa Clara Broncos32c199.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Santa Clara Broncos24c149.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0739742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Saint Mary's Gaels70c141.81$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.541,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Santa Clara Broncos31c128.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.731647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Santa Clara Broncos30c120.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6120254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Santa Clara Broncos31c106.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9862140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Santa Clara Broncos31c99.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7716721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Saint Mary's Gaels56c89.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1811542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Santa Clara Broncos21c82.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0219348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Santa Clara Broncos29c80.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.570936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Santa Clara Broncos37c80.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7632246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels68c72.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3535646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.464,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Santa Clara Broncos29c72.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.941,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Saint Mary's Gaels70c70.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2711362.8%71 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Saint Mary's Gaels70c70.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2783350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Saint Mary's Gaels70c66.61$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9825152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5581…c029backed Santa Clara Broncos36c65.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.564035%14 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed Saint Mary's Gaels48c62.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4213565.9%89 W · 46 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3601…cbd5backed Saint Mary's Gaels70c61.35$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.42552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Saint Mary's Gaels66c61.04$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5149157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Saint Mary's Gaels65c56.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.074050%20 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Saint Mary's Gaels67c55.44$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2912748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Santa Clara Broncos52c53.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.861,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Saint Mary's Gaels71c51.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0670349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Santa Clara Broncos31c51.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.012240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Saint Mary's Gaels80c50.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1427055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Saint Mary's Gaels70c49.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8964658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bae…61b8backed Santa Clara Broncos48c41.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Saint Mary's Gaels70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.243053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Santa Clara Broncos33c39.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93520%7 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Saint Mary's Gaels70c39.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.732250%11 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels60c38.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.42650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Saint Mary's Gaels69c28.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.922853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Saint Mary's Gaels68c24.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7619860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3401backed Saint Mary's Gaels70c21.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0bc…de46backed Saint Mary's Gaels72c19.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Saint Mary's Gaels79c16.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.47748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Saint Mary's Gaels69c14.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.625844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.