Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed5b3ae35cd52099b53d8fc2d71e21f0cceaa4bec0eef2719d3af90fe0486ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Mary's Gaelsof Saint Mary's Gaels, Santa Clara Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 51c | 1,175$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.13 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Santa Clara Broncos | 59c | 1,078$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.29 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Santa Clara Broncos | 49c | 817.78$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.71 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 37c | 362.91$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 51c | 310.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…9018backed Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Santa Clara Broncos | 54c | 156.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 46c | 113.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 53c | 111.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Santa Clara Broncos | 46c | 105.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Santa Clara Broncos | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 44c | 75.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Santa Clara Broncos | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 60.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…9741backed Santa Clara Broncos | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 46c | 49.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 44c | 48.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…ba8ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 44c | 38.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 32.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 63c | 30.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 57c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-5.5)this page
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's GaelsSaint Mary's Gaels won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.