Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf386b201400cb0e037fa132869f03819038440a6d58c534eac09153714b3489
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Bearcatsof Oklahoma State Cowboys, Cincinnati Bearcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 19c | 4,490$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.81 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 1c | 2,643$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 19c | 2,488$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.82 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 18c | 1,113$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.33 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 4c | 1,072$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 80c | 825.35$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 13c | 735.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 19c | 701.92$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 20c | 298.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 17c | 269.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 13c | 212.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 19c | 181.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 19c | 134.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 77c | 121.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 77c | 120.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 18c | 118.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 17c | 115.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 20c | 99.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 20c | 99.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 19c | 79.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 18c | 73.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 19c | 70.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 19c | 65.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 17c | 62.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 64c | 30.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 75c | 24.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 73c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsthis page
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 151.5Over won
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.