Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Villanova Wildcats vs. St. John's Red Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98d8fe19ced644fd6e4232dd1ff149ec1ad128b8544e5d16d622cf989abaf602
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John's Red Stormof Villanova Wildcats, St. John's Red Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Villanova Wildcats | 25c | 10,352$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.92 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed St. John's Red Storm | 75c | 7,435$5,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.32 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked St. John's Red Storm | 75c | 6,446$4,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.21 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Villanova Wildcats | 27c | 2,943$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.81 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked St. John's Red Storm | 73c | 2,856$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.24 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Villanova Wildcats | 3c | 2,504$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Villanova Wildcats | 24c | 2,000$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 24c | 1,930$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.95 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 25c | 998.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked St. John's Red Storm | 75c | 662.29$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. John's Red Storm | 76c | 661.83$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Villanova Wildcats | 2c | 627.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 76c | 496.32$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.71 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. John's Red Storm | 78c | 417.76$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed St. John's Red Storm | 76c | 392.22$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…fd69backed St. John's Red Storm | 74c | 349.96$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Villanova Wildcats | 26c | 324.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Villanova Wildcats | 26c | 305.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Villanova Wildcats | 24c | 300.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed St. John's Red Storm | 73c | 299$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Villanova Wildcats | 25c | 298.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Villanova Wildcats | 30c | 295.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…4e04backed St. John's Red Storm | 76c | 263.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Villanova Wildcats | 26c | 242.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed St. John's Red Storm | 75c | 121.2$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Villanova Wildcats | 26c | 114.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Villanova Wildcats | 25c | 108.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Villanova Wildcats | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed Villanova Wildcats | 15c | 99.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Villanova Wildcats | 25c | 99.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Villanova Wildcats | 26c | 95.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Villanova Wildcats | 13c | 88.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked St. John's Red Storm | 75c | 42.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. John's Red Storm | 75c | 39.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c1…4531backed St. John's Red Storm | 80c | 36.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed St. John's Red Storm | 80c | 15.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villanova Wildcats vs. St. John's Red Stormthis page
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-7.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.