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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. John's Red Storm vs. Connecticut Huskies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Connecticut Huskiesof St. John's Red Storm, Connecticut Huskies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd37a…2358backed Connecticut Huskies69c5,410$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.951,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed St. John's Red Storm31c4,989$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.5144549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Connecticut Huskies75c3,322$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.75,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Connecticut Huskies68c2,222$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.042,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed St. John's Red Storm22c2,141$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.023,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Connecticut Huskies68c1,919$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.212646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked St. John's Red Storm28c1,731$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.391,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked St. John's Red Storm20c1,719$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.4731837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Connecticut Huskies78c1,645$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.691,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked St. John's Red Storm32c1,047$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.0310622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. John's Red Storm20c1,010$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.155,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed St. John's Red Storm32c1,008$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.5214325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Connecticut Huskies74c947.78$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.774,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked St. John's Red Storm32c930.36$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.7224847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Connecticut Huskies68c873.85$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.7212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked St. John's Red Storm32c721.52$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.411,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. John's Red Storm22c644.09$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.71,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked St. John's Red Storm6c607.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9236535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed Connecticut Huskies69c595.51$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6110846.3%50 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Connecticut Huskies69c551.9$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.777360.3%44 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked St. John's Red Storm32c500.48$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.152,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed St. John's Red Storm32c456.25$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14621937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. John's Red Storm29c426$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.492,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked St. John's Red Storm31c417.84$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked St. John's Red Storm32c400$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12655532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked St. John's Red Storm32c374.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9950745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Connecticut Huskies69c359.61$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4811362.8%71 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Connecticut Huskies71c349.43$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.582860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed St. John's Red Storm24c338.78$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3153635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked St. John's Red Storm31c321.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5414151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed St. John's Red Storm32c310.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.246346%29 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed St. John's Red Storm21c298.8$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.735939%23 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. John's Red Storm31c297.75$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.393447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked St. John's Red Storm28c259.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0139742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Connecticut Huskies68c225.97$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.311,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed St. John's Red Storm9c223.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.154434.1%15 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked St. John's Red Storm9c223.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.14616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked St. John's Red Storm32c199.7$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.91,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked St. John's Red Storm24c199.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9787047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed St. John's Red Storm31c169.72$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6181528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked St. John's Red Storm33c162.81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7310347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c14…ffa5backed Connecticut Huskies67c157.55$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba6a…1985backed St. John's Red Storm32c154.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54195.3%1 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-87.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc14d…f8b4backed St. John's Red Storm33c150.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.615933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed St. John's Red Storm31c125.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8562140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed St. John's Red Storm30c122.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7612748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e34…b486backed Connecticut Huskies69c117.95$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Connecticut Huskies68c105.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4749157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb747…3f1bbacked Connecticut Huskies70c99.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.892832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked St. John's Red Storm26c99.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8222640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Connecticut Huskies68c97.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3743053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed St. John's Red Storm33c90.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7731647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Connecticut Huskies69c86.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7512655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked St. John's Red Storm33c75.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8112153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. John's Red Storm22c74.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.771,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1a…7ddebacked St. John's Red Storm31c64.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.854450%22 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ffa…1e06backed St. John's Red Storm32c61.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.853138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked St. John's Red Storm32c60.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.275250%26 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked St. John's Red Storm32c55.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7630249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Connecticut Huskies77c50.56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.741,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Connecticut Huskies69c49.63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3864658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked St. John's Red Storm33c48.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Connecticut Huskies67c42.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7419860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked St. John's Red Storm31c41.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9220834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x112e…0d1fbacked Connecticut Huskies70c41.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.334652.2%24 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed St. John's Red Storm28c40.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5770936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Connecticut Huskies76c34.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.473253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed St. John's Red Storm32c34.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0316140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked St. John's Red Storm32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed St. John's Red Storm32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Connecticut Huskies69c28.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.929256.5%52 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.