Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x436bafb5cee0a1dc6d43de7ea0ff2af0d668a3a4a6f9c9390a10f2a22009f6ba

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Connecticut Huskiesof Connecticut Huskies, St. John's Red Storm
Resolved: Feb 26, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,307

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,188 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7b47…d615backed St. John's Red Storm	49c	1,330$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.74	740	51.5%381 W · 359 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Connecticut Huskies	50c	1,004$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.1	429	34.3%147 W · 282 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Connecticut Huskies	51c	977.32$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.78	188	46.8%88 W · 100 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed St. John's Red Storm	50c	897.74$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.87	445	49.4%220 W · 225 L	-14.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7722…dec4backed St. John's Red Storm	51c	677.61$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked St. John's Red Storm	49c	408.26$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.52	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Connecticut Huskies	50c	396.5$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.25	162	53.1%86 W · 76 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed Connecticut Huskies	51c	297.38$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.71	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Connecticut Huskies	51c	279.53$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.97	635	51.5%327 W · 308 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Connecticut Huskies	49c	243.52$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.63	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed St. John's Red Storm	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	574	48.3%277 W · 297 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb358…e547backed Connecticut Huskies	51c	198.25$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.14	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Connecticut Huskies	53c	149.63$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.32	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Connecticut Huskies	45c	145.27$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.9	2,124	50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed St. John's Red Storm	55c	125.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.29	239	41.4%99 W · 140 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed St. John's Red Storm	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	145	46.9%68 W · 77 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed St. John's Red Storm	51c	97.18$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.56	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed St. John's Red Storm	52c	76.25$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.65	144	48.6%70 W · 74 L	-12.5wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Connecticut Huskies	51c	68.03$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	130	50%65 W · 65 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Connecticut Huskies	51c	58.42$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.68	92	56.5%52 W · 40 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Connecticut Huskies	51c	58.31$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.57	115	52.2%60 W · 55 L	-8.5wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked St. John's Red Storm	52c	47.66$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	121	53.7%65 W · 56 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed St. John's Red Storm	51c	29.15$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed St. John's Red Storm	47c	28.38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.46	709	36.1%256 W · 453 L	-27.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3778…8604backed Connecticut Huskies	51c	23.32$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.43	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	-6.6wins	-0.12per pick	63cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-5.5)this page
St. John's Red Storm vs. Connecticut HuskiesConnecticut Huskies won
St. John's Red Storm vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 144.5Under won
St. John's Red Storm vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 145.5Under won
St. John's Red Storm vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 146.5Under won
St. John's Red Storm vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 147.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event