Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9505312045f5b983049517613374fbdccc4696f144fd40e331896b2a29bef02d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grand Canyon Antelopesof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, Grand Canyon Antelopes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 25c | 1,914$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.86 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 76c | 1,146$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.03 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 26c | 1,142$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.45 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 74c | 947.99$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.48 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 25c | 797$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 74c | 621.11$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 75c | 524$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 25c | 522.7$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 7c | 390.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 17c | 300.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 25c | 299.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 26c | 297.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 75c | 288.44$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 75c | 267.64$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 76c | 242.4$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 9c | 190.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 13c | 174.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 12c | 162.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…c9eebacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 77c | 141.07$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 78c | 127.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 25c | 99.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 24c | 97.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 11c | 93.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 75c | 87.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 75c | 77.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 75c | 73.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 26c | 49.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 74c | 41.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 76c | 41.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 66c | 31.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…fe0abacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 76c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 77cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 73c | 16.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesthis page
- Spread: Grand Canyon Antelopes (-7.5)Grand Canyon Antelopes won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.