Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x108c6e5030326c697e38c974eebd7868c6d24d269d6d6086a20f4c80b4996890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Razorbacksof Texas A&M Aggies, Arkansas Razorbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 2,246$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.67 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 74c | 1,735$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.66 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Texas A&M Aggies | 28c | 1,599$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.8 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Texas A&M Aggies | 24c | 1,242$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 29c | 1,204$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas A&M Aggies | 36c | 939.57$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.64 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 67c | 916.83$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 9c | 897.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Texas A&M Aggies | 8c | 864.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 813.26$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.18 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 24c | 812.05$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 668.7$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.49 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 29c | 605.66$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 70c | 550.41$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Texas A&M Aggies | 20c | 506.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Texas A&M Aggies | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…f5c7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 69c | 423.12$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Texas A&M Aggies | 24c | 414.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Texas A&M Aggies | 17c | 343.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Texas A&M Aggies | 18c | 267.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Texas A&M Aggies | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 23c | 198.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 181.8$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…c9eebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texas A&M Aggies | 24c | 132.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…cfc5backed Texas A&M Aggies | 37c | 130.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 71c | 125.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Texas A&M Aggies | 24c | 124.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…4116backed Texas A&M Aggies | 40c | 123.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 119.15$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Texas A&M Aggies | 26c | 115.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 24c | 103.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Texas A&M Aggies | 15c | 100.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Texas A&M Aggies | 24c | 99.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Texas A&M Aggies | 25c | 99.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Texas A&M Aggies | 24c | 97.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 23c | 84.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 31c | 81.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 81.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 78.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Texas A&M Aggies | 26c | 67.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 56.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Texas A&M Aggies | 24c | 53.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 51.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Texas A&M Aggies | 41c | 51.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Texas A&M Aggies | 41c | 51.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…426fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 68c | 51.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 32c | 50.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Texas A&M Aggies | 38c | 40.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 79c | 35.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 78c | 27.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…fe0abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 19.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 77cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…8604backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 69c | 14.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacksthis page
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-7.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-8.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 170.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.