Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0aabe9ccf9ec2ba36c3eeab4c5b78175166989d4a0c8ad2728f71f26104cd29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 54c | 2,036$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.32 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 1,440$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 50c | 1,063$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.31 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 998.77$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 46c | 440.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.14 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 51c | 409.1$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 52c | 154.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 50c | 98.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Over | 38c | 88.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 62c | 88.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…0e37backed Under | 41c | 83.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…f932backed Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 60c | 79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd4…035bbacked Under | 49c | 73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 52c | 66.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…2292backed Over | 49c | 35.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…6557backed Under | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Over | 50c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 170.5this page
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-7.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-8.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas Razorbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.