Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc470b28b98bc3a696c4aa6b2ca225aea98442659f80af45863d5efa5e0c2c98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 44c | 14,288$6,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,286.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 5,160$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.9 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 2,364$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.86 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 58c | 1,200$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed No | 57c | 1,026$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 853.99$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.87 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 56c | 845.01$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.81 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 44c | 785.36$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.33 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 701.04$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.73 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 32c | 500.47$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…6bebbacked Yes | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed No | 56c | 269.15$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 45c | 210.2$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed No | 56c | 197.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed Yes | 34c | 166.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…1cb5backed No | 54c | 127.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 115.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 44c | 109.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 101.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1b…b963backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90c…0d37backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…5dd3backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64f…29b4backed Yes | 42c | 89.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 59c | 74.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 44c | 74.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 15c | 71.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f39…5bc5backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed No | 61c | 65.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 47.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 38c | 46.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 44c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 66c | 38.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked No | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 42c | 32.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Yes | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Yes | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 52c | 25.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 21.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…e9d2backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed No | 60c | 18.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed No | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.