TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cbd…e9d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT4057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.96
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.6
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Sharks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$7.02
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$13.22
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.4
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$29.4
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Kings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.78
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.3
Senators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.7
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Wild vs. Ducksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Islanders vs. Blackhawksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$13.26
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$46.67
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$10.57
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$40.75
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.47
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will Brazil win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Will Japan win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.35
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30.6
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20.09
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.