NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51048000461555d8b8565082b478a3dce38c832505337ebb85064da1a0183e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Ducks | 45c | 61,385$27,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,623.23 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 55c | 34,210$18,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,381.15 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ducks | 0c | 28,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 54c | 10,951$5,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.54 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks | 9c | 9,247$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.98 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Ducks | 1c | 7,116$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 55c | 5,555$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.75 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 45c | 5,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.3 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Wild | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ducks | 1c | 3,533$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Wild | 55c | 3,273$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.73 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…430cbacked Wild | 55c | 3,226$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 28c | 2,857$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.14 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Ducks | 26c | 2,821$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.34 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Ducks | 46c | 2,805$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.3 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Ducks | 13c | 2,381$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Wild | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.97 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Ducks | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Wild | 55c | 1,816$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.36 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa809…ac67backed Wild | 55c | 1,784$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…2633backed Ducks | 45c | 1,771$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Ducks | 45c | 1,753$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.85 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Ducks | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Ducks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 79c | 1,347$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.57 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 54c | 1,224$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.23 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wild | 55c | 1,120$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Wild | 56c | 1,089$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.28 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 46c | 1,083$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.18 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62b…94b8backed Ducks | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Ducks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…ad90backed Ducks | 45c | 997.14$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Ducks | 45c | 991$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.25 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Wild | 71c | 985.92$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Ducks | 26c | 956.76$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.67 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc50b…b7ccbacked Wild | 55c | 950.1$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild | 70c | 935$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.15 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…de96backed Ducks | 45c | 926.17$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfd…58e8backed Wild | 55c | 897.6$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wild | 78c | 893.7$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.41 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ef…c9b3backed Wild | 55c | 889.2$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Wild | 55c | 889.09$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.09 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101b…6a6cbacked Wild | 55c | 880.86$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…395fbacked Wild | 55c | 877.07$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wild | 73c | 850$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e5…3383backed Wild | 55c | 817.78$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x065a…a0abbacked Ducks | 45c | 816$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Wild | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Ducks | 39c | 792.83$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…d4cabacked Ducks | 45c | 784.3$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…df3abacked Ducks | 45c | 783.19$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 72c | 774.69$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.33 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Ducks | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 45c | 737$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.65 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Ducks | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Ducks | 45c | 598.29$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.95 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Ducks | 46c | 575.49$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.73 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Ducks | 15c | 571.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Ducks | 45c | 555.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Wild | 56c | 546.3$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…adb3backed Ducks | 45c | 500.95$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Wild | 53c | 500.53$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.25 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Wild | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Ducks | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30b…1e64backed Ducks | 45c | 478.77$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…c402backed Ducks | 45c | 477.14$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…778fbacked Ducks | 45c | 470.48$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Wild | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Ducks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Wild | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Wild | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Wild | 57c | 412.28$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…7f53backed Ducks | 45c | 408.2$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Wild | 55c | 401.82$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.82 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ducks | 45c | 400.02$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.12 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Wild | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…e0d0backed Wild | 55c | 387.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Wild | 55c | 379.07$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1123…3c79backed Ducks | 46c | 373.07$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…f2dabacked Wild | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…4815backed Wild | 55c | 353.31$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038c…dc2dbacked Wild | 55c | 340.62$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ede…17cbbacked Wild | 55c | 336.36$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…6415backed Wild | 55c | 335.53$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…c85cbacked Wild | 55c | 333.71$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Ducks | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752a…cbcfbacked Wild | 55c | 331.15$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbd…863cbacked Wild | 55c | 328.85$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Wild | 56c | 306.33$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Ducks | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Wild | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Ducks | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wild | 80c | 296.78$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Ducks | 45c | 275.61$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…5549backed Ducks | 46c | 271.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Ducksthis page
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.