TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,560

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,544 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over51c84,083$42,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,441.4567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under49c72,947$35,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,744.2788151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over51c19,607$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,607.677236.1%26 W · 46 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over51c17,076$8,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,367.091,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under50c7,656$3,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,82816843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92022546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4940…05cbbacked Under48c3,977$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Under50c3,940$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97024654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c3,432$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.751,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9939752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22523751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under3c2,100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671076.5%7 W · 100 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under50c1,836$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.9228251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c1,529$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.282,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c1,290$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.221,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3910746.7%50 W · 57 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a8…2589backed Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf25f…ea6abacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c3…f753backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf369…4a4fbacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29e7…2a92backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f82…e396backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf943…b713backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e0…c70abacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a54…01d8backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe514…e1c4backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1c…df27backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97b…1633backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd101…ae9abacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437e…59ffbacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c7…6092backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d99…5ccdbacked Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89fe…4658backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2a…8bdcbacked Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ca…73f4backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b8…06c5backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b6…d2d0backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ebb…4c55backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5af…3998backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x039d…d8a3backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd641…f969backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7880…e924backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x025a…a060backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd7…0d7abacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5b…1d4cbacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ea…c36ebacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18cf…ee34backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222c…f67cbacked Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0197…61d8backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fb…5604backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…6f96backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb94…d612backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb98…4457backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8087…c5c5backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e1…23c1backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf5…66f5backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8410…feaebacked Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d7…2a2ebacked Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ceb…914bbacked Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf614…5306backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf480…2e6abacked Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a9d…4586backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2596…07e0backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…a622backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e82…fdf0backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dae…47a6backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f41…a5a1backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3923…7dd2backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de9…deb4backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a83…aca5backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…a3efbacked Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…fd75backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfccb…3afabacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a6e…c12ebacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5361…64d5backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b7…4642backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…4c15backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b7…ec85backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd64f…73abbacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd09d…51b8backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd06…32d8backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3325…77efbacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbd…1100backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a1…dbf5backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cdd…95eebacked Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde75…d43dbacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d1…b156backed Over50c740$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c1…5ba6backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e0…f298backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b9…6f4fbacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e10…a8b5backed Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…883fbacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffad…92fdbacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a9…672bbacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f5…ac2abacked Under50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.