Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-11-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2e199347669c2892bd8f01fe7330a04073878261dd949e7b5fb3d56f00d0030
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 42c | 65,506$27,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,419.39 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 44c | 11,454$5,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.43 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 59c | 8,500$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 58c | 5,952$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 2,380$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…5a51backed No | 42c | 1,776$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 1,717$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.31 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 59c | 1,510$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.78 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 1,488$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 51c | 815.47$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.8 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 48c | 618.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.62 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Yes | 59c | 509.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 41c | 441.61$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…f888backed Yes | 53c | 400$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 67c | 378.97$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 55c | 369.67$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.35 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 52c | 339.29$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.49 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 234.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 42c | 233.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 46c | 207.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 51c | 196.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 41c | 184.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 59c | 177$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 52c | 151.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 48c | 116.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No | 40c | 105.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 58c | 103$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 16c | 99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed No | 63c | 85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 59c | 84.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 61c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 49c | 82.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 46c | 71.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdad…6904backed Yes | 38c | 70.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 59c | 66.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 16c | 63.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14bb…12afbacked No | 42c | 51.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 57c | 47.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 43c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 42c | 42.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf409…8208backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Yes | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 59c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…e1ebbacked Yes | 59c | 34.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d5…e74ebacked Yes | 60c | 33.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 42c | 33.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Yes | 59c | 25.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…e9d2backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…115fbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…beb9backed Yes | 59c | 17.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2025-11-26?this page
- Will Millwall FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-11-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.