Australian A League · resolved market
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73dcc2189d7d3917fdd66a6e81028a3c7ff2a76e6b51062ac255c24fee53d687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 17,743$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.4 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 10,335$7,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.13 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 6,407$4,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.81 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 6,154$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.06 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 79c | 1,012$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 74c | 860.07$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed No | 71c | 727$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…d31cbacked Yes | 30c | 654.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Yes | 24c | 555.63$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 30c | 533.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 29c | 431.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 393.66$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 27c | 367.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 307.09$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3144…25e9backed Yes | 30c | 213.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 26c | 206.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833e…f756backed Yes | 29c | 177.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 23c | 159.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6974backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a9a2backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 70c | 120.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 29c | 118$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 29c | 116.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 26c | 114.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 73c | 103$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 15c | 100.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 27c | 96.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Yes | 27c | 88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed No | 74c | 87.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…6092backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 28c | 86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…87d1backed Yes | 29c | 80.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 73c | 79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 28c | 65.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 24c | 65.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked No | 72c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Yes | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ba…12d4backed Yes | 23c | 46.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Yes | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked No | 73c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked No | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked No | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed No | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed No | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed No | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked No | 78c | 19.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 70c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.