Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd59712725a1613bc72e16374e78213c77e5c63a6d8ad15c1a7ae1295a50959ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keysof Shnaider, Keys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shnaider | 31c | 10,983$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.26 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shnaider | 48c | 10,876$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.67 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Keys | 59c | 4,914$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.74 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Keys | 29c | 4,360$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shnaider | 46c | 4,311$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.4 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Shnaider | 40c | 4,100$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Keys | 68c | 4,040$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.38 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Keys | 67c | 3,903$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.28 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Keys | 26c | 3,856$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.68 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Keys | 51c | 2,823$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.63 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Shnaider | 37c | 2,694$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.5 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Shnaider | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 336 | 36.9%124 W · 212 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Keys | 38c | 2,396$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.28 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Shnaider | 41c | 2,215$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.66 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…f95fbacked Keys | 69c | 1,652$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Keys | 63c | 1,588$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.14 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Keys | 76c | 1,357$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.7 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Keys | 27c | 1,307$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.47 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Keys | 46c | 1,272$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.96 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Keys | 34c | 1,226$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.23 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Keys | 56c | 1,204$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.17 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Keys | 45c | 1,184$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.27 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Shnaider | 44c | 1,149$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 630 | 45.4%286 W · 344 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Keys | 34c | 1,115$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Shnaider | 43c | 1,073$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.39 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shnaider | 42c | 1,044$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.08 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shnaider | 54c | 1,043$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.1 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Keys | 32c | 961.03$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.31 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Keys | 46c | 954.97$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.54 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Keys | 23c | 900$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Shnaider | 59c | 900$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.73 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Shnaider | 3c | 849.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Shnaider | 59c | 818.34$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.15 | 1,461 | 48.8%713 W · 748 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Shnaider | 39c | 810$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.7 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Keys | 49c | 748.92$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.32 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Keys | 58c | 731.15$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.08 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Shnaider | 32c | 728$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.87 | 1,162 | 44.2%514 W · 648 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shnaider | 33c | 719.91$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.84 | 6,584 | 54.4%3,584 W · 3,000 L | +286.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Shnaider | 60c | 699.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164e…c2a2backed Shnaider | 36c | 698.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Keys | 62c | 666.86$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.06 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Keys | 63c | 599.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Keys | 48c | 599.89$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.02 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Shnaider | 42c | 597.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Shnaider | 44c | 590$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.39 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Keys | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…5758backed Shnaider | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31c…642bbacked Keys | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Shnaider | 44c | 475$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.75 | 302 | 53.6%162 W · 140 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…8d54backed Shnaider | 29c | 474.87$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Keys | 77c | 444$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176c…089ebacked Shnaider | 35c | 440.11$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…8e44backed Shnaider | 45c | 429.69$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Shnaider | 70c | 429.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Keys | 60c | 415$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Shnaider | 37c | 400$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Keys | 68c | 396.87$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Keys | 73c | 373.22$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Keys | 42c | 369.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.42 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Keys | 55c | 364.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 4,523 | 51.7%2,340 W · 2,183 L | +135.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Keys | 52c | 359.78$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 2,160 | 54%1,166 W · 994 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…b8ecbacked Shnaider | 42c | 353.67$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Keys | 71c | 322.68$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Keys | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Shnaider | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Keys | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b13…2c26backed Shnaider | 43c | 300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…3ae6backed Shnaider | 14c | 276.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed Keys | 55c | 265.89$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Shnaider | 38c | 260.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,872 | 48.2%902 W · 970 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5ec6backed Shnaider | 78c | 260.47$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.11 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…4f93backed Shnaider | 42c | 248.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Keys | 47c | 246.51$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Shnaider | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Shnaider | 39c | 238$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Keys | 32c | 213.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.01 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Keys | 62c | 212.04$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Keys | 49c | 208.59$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Shnaider | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Shnaider | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Keys | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Shnaider | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…8356backed Shnaider | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Keys | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Shnaider | 42c | 195.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Shnaider | 41c | 190.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Shnaider | 34c | 190.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Keys | 53c | 184.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…b81fbacked Shnaider | 42c | 176.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Shnaider | 32c | 175.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Shnaider | 32c | 173.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Keys | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Keys | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Shnaider | 68c | 169.18$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Keys | 27c | 163$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 621 | 22.2%138 W · 483 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Keys | 60c | 162.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…eb3cbacked Keys | 65c | 161.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Keys | 12c | 160.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Keys | 63c | 159.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfd…2f8ebacked Keys | 28c | 153.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +162.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keysthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shnaider vs KeysShnaider won
- Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)Shnaider won
- Shnaider vs. Keys: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Shnaider vs. Keys: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Shnaider vs. Keys: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.