Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45847d2012196e80ad855d24f06b8d3727072aa21b2e7856831e7a52c098f24a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 160,000$73,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,199.99 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 38c | 40,000$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 38c | 20,001$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 68c | 18,204$12,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,326.04 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 65c | 13,131$8,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,544.92 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 9,816$5,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,277.41 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 38c | 3,150$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 2,060$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.96 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,628$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.37 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 62c | 960.48$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 48c | 838.42$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 762.73$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.85 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 57c | 618$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.59 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 62c | 502$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.76 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 61c | 422.78$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.99 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 61c | 376.15$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 49c | 332.16$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.04 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e9…d49cbacked No | 73c | 265.6$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 26c | 228.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 38c | 170.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked No | 38c | 148$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 41c | 145.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 36c | 134.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 61c | 126.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 63c | 117$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed No | 37c | 117$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed No | 37c | 94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 54c | 92.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 59c | 84.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 37c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…da80backed No | 46c | 63.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 38c | 62.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed No | 37c | 62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 38c | 61.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed No | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed No | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…512abacked Yes | 64c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…5a2fbacked Yes | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 53c | 54.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Yes | 62c | 49.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 29c | 47.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…bde4backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Yes | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Yes | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb531…b230backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked No | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Yes | 63c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked No | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde22…292abacked Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked No | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked No | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Yes | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Yes | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…3762backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Yes | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Yes | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Yes | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0272…7deabacked Yes | 44c | 23.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 63c | 23.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Yes | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…6dc6backed Yes | 47c | 22.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Yes | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Yes | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Yes | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Yes | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Yes | 62c | 16.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +93%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf end in a draw?No won
- Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.