Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NEC win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2850b2a80af9dba925ce89622a51e65b6f950e843cc21990f89eb7264d1e786
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 59c | 35,000$20,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,300 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 40c | 19,492$7,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,796.72 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 42c | 14,959$6,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,282.51 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 2,604$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 2,439$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 34c | 1,692$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.46 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,556$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.97 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 52c | 1,449$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.8 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,194$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.46 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 43c | 1,156$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.97 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 42c | 953.9$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.64 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed Yes | 25c | 890$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.5 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 59c | 673.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 58c | 514.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.78 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 59c | 427$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 75c | 390$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.14 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 373.31$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.4 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 52c | 212.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 57c | 211.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 41c | 190.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 24c | 177.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 110.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…815bbacked Yes | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 76c | 109.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 52c | 101.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…c13ebacked Yes | 52c | 101.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 27c | 97.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 67c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb531…b230backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 65.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked No | 43c | 63.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 59.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 42c | 55.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 59c | 52.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb2…e990backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 32c | 48.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a54…2d16backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…b91cbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…130ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 73c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 46c | 32.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 40c | 29.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…cbf2backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…9b59backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEC win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will FC Volendam vs. NEC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Volendam win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.