Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Volendam vs. NEC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4436b665d26780a15dc76da0fd986cf432941f98303ce486f543542d15d9552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 2,859$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 1,631$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.98 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 30c | 484.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a3…4b31backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 363.87$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked No | 73c | 295$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 22c | 192.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 61c | 172.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 22c | 139$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 37c | 131$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked No | 79c | 126.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 24c | 123.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 30c | 94.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 70c | 70.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…4299backed Yes | 28c | 64.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 24c | 59.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +99%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 69c | 37.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…cbf2backed No | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Volendam vs. NEC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Volendam win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will NEC win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.