Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaed4a847257531b49a7d4352f10bc615f2ac05f69cc6aef76f81b0f04a3294c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f0…299bbacked Over | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 38c | 498.04$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.04 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 62c | 472.56$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.99 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Under | 62c | 81.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Under | 65c | 70.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 56c | 69.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…159ebacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 43.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 35c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8901…e16bbacked Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…ae14backed Under | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)DN Freecs won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 2 WinnerDN Freecs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.