Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe49b02e22504b95ef7eeb4beea4d1d21ec6ee968078b2f9dd3c844940b975bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN Freecsof Hanwha Life Esports, DN Freecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked DN Freecs | 40c | 13,693$5,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,237.6 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Hanwha Life Esports | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed DN Freecs | 40c | 2,535$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.43 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Hanwha Life Esports | 61c | 1,530$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.5 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…49b6backed DN Freecs | 39c | 1,292$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Hanwha Life Esports | 61c | 1,292$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Hanwha Life Esports | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 59c | 641.4$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.43 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Hanwha Life Esports | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…da0ebacked Hanwha Life Esports | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed DN Freecs | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed DN Freecs | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Hanwha Life Esports | 57c | 493.18$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.11 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Hanwha Life Esports | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed DN Freecs | 43c | 371.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.52 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Hanwha Life Esports | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed DN Freecs | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked DN Freecs | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked DN Freecs | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9b…99c8backed Hanwha Life Esports | 6c | 284.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Hanwha Life Esports | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed DN Freecs | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…1028backed DN Freecs | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked DN Freecs | 35c | 70.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed DN Freecs | 42c | 63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Hanwha Life Esports | 58c | 63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked DN Freecs | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…ae14backed Hanwha Life Esports | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked DN Freecs | 35c | 32.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0b…be09backed Hanwha Life Esports | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Hanwha Life Esports | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 2 WinnerDN Freecs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.