Australian A League · resolved market
Will Sydney FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x203ab49f84bff6fdf657627bd2a9efdbe77a4aa9832601f3fd51846e99aee833
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 50,401$22,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,157.32 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 26,772$14,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,824.52 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 17,941$10,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,509.86 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 8,617$4,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.69 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 4,575$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.84 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 42c | 2,905$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 36c | 1,248$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 68c | 1,089$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.54 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 1,050$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.1 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,037$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 48c | 1,028$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 31c | 900$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6e…255abacked Yes | 36c | 730$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 56c | 603$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.32 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…3db2backed Yes | 44c | 521.63$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 10c | 496.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 54c | 490.21$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.91 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 53c | 374.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.3 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed No | 66c | 303.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…f2dabacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 36c | 239.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…a17cbacked Yes | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 207.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 205.23$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 39c | 183.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 52c | 178.19$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Yes | 36c | 150.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 66c | 131.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 22c | 130.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…0287backed Yes | 35c | 128.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 34c | 122.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 57c | 117.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 44c | 117.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 44c | 112.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 69c | 92.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…5efbbacked Yes | 48c | 89.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 43c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 44c | 84.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 43c | 83.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…bcd8backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bde9backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 48c | 49.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f39…5bc5backed Yes | 30c | 46.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6974backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…79a4backed No | 58c | 34.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked No | 66c | 32.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Yes | 44c | 29.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…dba2backed Yes | 41c | 29.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked No | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.