Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd9ffeeea14f939395dc0bb859de7f121b4833f5501ae9f87b71d53f5e4c91d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 10c | 4,999$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.05 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 58c | 2,241$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.38 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,880$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.11 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 64c | 391.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 68c | 272.73$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 46c | 234.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 42c | 225.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 225.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 56c | 212.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 32c | 184.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 43c | 173.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 55c | 171.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 54c | 148.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 44c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes | 44c | 77.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 60c | 72.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…264fbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…5e1dbacked No | 59c | 33.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 22.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.