TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over46c49,999$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,999.758743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c31,401$17,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,990.132,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over49c30,574$14,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,981.074463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Under54c25,813$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,812.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c17,286$8,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,470.3134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over49c11,134$5,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,455.592552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c10,899$5,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,013.7526040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c5,600$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,57645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over2c4,221$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.291421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid-59.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c3,392$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.8398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c3,194$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.531,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under51c3,007$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.233271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under52c2,308$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.654748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over50c1,999$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.45520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c1,740$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.6833148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474c…8506backed Over1c1,643$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004017.5%7 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c1a…40b4backed Over29c1,299$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over4c1,211$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.457742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over47c1,201$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.474575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over50c1,042$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.996028.3%17 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4702250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under53c999.97$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9914249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over15c834.45$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.174247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x548c…9d1fbacked Over47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e1…0f14backed Over47c550$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under71c476.5$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1414936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over32c468.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c430.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.8837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under54c412$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.526744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over29c399.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c317.42$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5440549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under54c308.77$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0316251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over30c304.7$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1423244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…8dd9backed Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Under50c296$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over37c270.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3313648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x657e…e62fbacked Over37c265.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.991844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over26c230$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.94524.4%11 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over38c226.54$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7115847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c222.33$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over48c208.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Over40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over30c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.829862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over45c199.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.991625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over49c196.79$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.439937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6826744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over41c182.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Over30c167.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506645.5%30 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under54c166.48$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5812253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under56c161.74$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7851139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over35c154.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.476956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over47c144$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.689456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Under54c142.79$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.796241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc101…98edbacked Over30c133.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under52c129.06$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x646a…7eb2backed Over49c127.69$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-51.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606366.7%42 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over36c124$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0511460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.811550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over27c117.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Over48c117.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.281957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.218659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over36c111.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2128458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c110.42$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1731051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over29c110.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4715648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2916526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under70c99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6946742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c96.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1533144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Over16c95.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15110%0 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over44c91.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under73c86.97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Over28c84.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.942157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under53c77.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4928556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44bc…e775backed Under52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.312263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under55c61.25$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3924955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under67c58.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.177949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510566.7%70 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under57c53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.748752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311153.2%59 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over40c47.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.