Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa35b94f216ebd2f4ac8b797959bd1a15e71a007b3be589f54f22f4a325dee72d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 805.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.82 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Under | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 6c | 362.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 80c | 298.09$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 76c | 283.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 27c | 268.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 74c | 177$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 20c | 140.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Over | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 74c | 67.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 75c | 66.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 77c | 64.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over | 27c | 39.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 73c | 29.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5this page
- US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.