TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,543 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Under61c42,472$25,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,760.611346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over37c22,615$8,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,282.8544952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Under53c9,465$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,464.632166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked Over46c9,128$4,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,198.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c6,309$3,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.643,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over46c4,579$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over43c3,994$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.0638247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2605545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2607143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c2,392$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.3233349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c1,802$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.982,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over37c1,749$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.846722.4%15 W · 52 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under54c1,500$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.998946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over45c1,015$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.9792050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Under56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3369148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over49c783.69$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.012948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over50c743.98$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over54c676$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.042133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over70c571.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under44c504$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.0643344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over45c500$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2242951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed1…b8e2backed Over45c404.44$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over48c401.03$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.341963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under52c371.5$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.95358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x552b…604bbacked Under55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1268250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12612948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Over47c299.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Under53c299.93$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under44c289.18$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.763957.1%365 W · 274 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under53c280$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.63259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c274$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2618049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de6…d1a3backed Over49c272.83$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over76c263.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10513650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c231.35$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8970639.5%279 W · 427 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over41c213$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.339858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over53c211.22$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.952065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over48c206.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49a5…b220backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8811153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over46c188.23$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.595540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2583…30d5backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under54c179.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.798442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over57c175.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.981163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+67%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over57c175.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.621844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12bd…8f48backed Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under55c154.01$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6255545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.59444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over44c139.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.592548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Over34c125.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over45c122.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.119546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.47847.4%37 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.47544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.47244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.47544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.47540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.414756.5%83 W · 64 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over45c111.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0633847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over47c107.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over31c106.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338229.3%24 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407536%27 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05aa…6786backed Over27c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c86.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924049.2%118 W · 122 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2949…4cc8backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2de…8438backed Under58c79.91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+106.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb9a…fd63backed Over61c74.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014741.5%61 W · 86 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over45c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.55547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under52c63.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over68c61.41$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.469037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over50c61.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5526747.2%126 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.27748.1%37 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.26741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.26144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.61921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d3a…6484backed Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.567755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.