Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb87961cc122b37cdca528d6a4c42821602b78e483fec199f68c06060e38895bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,448$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.49 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked Over | 72c | 2,250$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Over | 72c | 2,250$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,559$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.48 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.98 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Over | 73c | 1,180$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 23c | 790.75$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 746.89$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.32 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 27c | 643.9$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.03 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 37c | 536.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 49c | 499.92$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.96 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 78c | 400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 22c | 388.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.22 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 75c | 360$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…c943backed Over | 75c | 360$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 296.21$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…726cbacked Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 54c | 260$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 73c | 239.73$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 184.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 27c | 179.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.39 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…a58abacked Under | 66c | 162.73$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 40c | 73.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…3ebfbacked Under | 30c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…f6debacked Over | 72c | 59.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 69c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked Over | 72c | 57.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +79%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Over | 72c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…31e9backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 64c | 32.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc70…26c8backed Over | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 71c | 20.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…2646backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 62c | 17.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…a489backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5this page
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)SK Brann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.