Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d29cce155e464550dbed73ca9084932181464b13ad90fea25f57f98fdd3516a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 4,266$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.26 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 60c | 1,009$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 52c | 962.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 37c | 812.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 761.31$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.59 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 50c | 669.48$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 592.26$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.41 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed No | 49c | 577.98$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 52c | 571.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.2 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 55c | 410.31$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.67 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 47c | 205.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…85aabacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aed…53e2backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d52…f748backed Yes | 50c | 198.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 61c | 197$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 63cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 182.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 49c | 179.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 52c | 168$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 159.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 46c | 145.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 50c | 120.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 119.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…0faabacked Yes | 51c | 106.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 52c | 95.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked No | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 42c | 52.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 49c | 50.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…761abacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked No | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…0dbcbacked Yes | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 42.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa036…2318backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…cd85backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 49c | 31.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 54c | 28.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 53c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No | 50c | 21.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)SK Brann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.