TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under76c1,455$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.2884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over18c1,249$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.546722.4%15 W · 52 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7491…2a97backed Over2c1,118$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over24c889.3$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under77c392.69$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6355545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over23c388.44$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3419546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Under76c375.1$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Under64c313.72$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under72c243$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0443344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Over25c242.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.312321.7%5 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over23c199.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.992548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under73c195$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Under76c185$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over28c166.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.651844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015224.3%37 W · 115 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over10c155.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over24c151.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over25c144$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under77c127$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2112545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under78c110.79$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6717249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128229.3%24 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2318444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under78c96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.127545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa131…7269backed Over25c75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over43c73.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.319037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under73c65.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8138247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b8…35fabacked Over23c64.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2914963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e8d…1be3backed Over24c62.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9840%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe626…40d1backed Over25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2c…b875backed Over24c59.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c2…3cc1backed Over25c58.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd931…ae99backed Over24c58.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x103d…f7eabacked Over24c58.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-72.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157028.6%20 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f35…47e8backed Over24c55.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe04b…aae8backed Over25c54.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045c…6f90backed Over25c54.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…02b7backed Over25c53.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c4…9da6backed Over25c52.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over43c52.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.669444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c9a…2be6backed Over24c52.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x263e…2976backed Over25c51.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac64…0041backed Over25c49.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaff…e10fbacked Over24c45.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…4930backed Over24c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c5e…8919backed Over24c42.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.19683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.39per pick44cpaid+120.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over43c41.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9523757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under64c40.45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3936136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fcb…4381backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over31c37.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.762065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.77842.3%33 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2db…b3a5backed Under75c29.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9c…4f90backed Under77c19.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1e…5bdfbacked Under77c19.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.38580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a61…0f10backed Under77c18.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5125…d432backed Under77c18.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2346…48d0backed Under77c18.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+93.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd240…f116backed Under77c18.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cda…8051backed Under77c17.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd30…1d56backed Under77c17.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+96.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ae…78b3backed Under77c17.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb228…d3c5backed Under77c17.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.08366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6787…008fbacked Under77c17.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.07683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+72.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff58…c3d4backed Under77c17.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe05e…5982backed Under78c17.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf1f…64d4backed Under77c17.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x431d…4457backed Under77c17.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb631…2d38backed Under77c16.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df0…de29backed Under76c16.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+89.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa375…74e8backed Under77c16.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34e4…6fd7backed Under77c16.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6816…eda8backed Under77c16.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…b162backed Under77c16.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…5e33backed Under78c16.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb669…e517backed Under78c16.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675d…dc38backed Under77c16.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cea…2a6fbacked Under78c16.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+93.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc33…d234backed Under77c16.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+89.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba88…fdeabacked Under77c16.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68d…ad25backed Under77c15.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.663100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a9…d049backed Under77c15.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa94b…925fbacked Under77c15.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb0f…da0fbacked Under77c15.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e3…6a57backed Under77c15.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x826d…0673backed Under77c15.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.49366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98e…e2ccbacked Under77c15.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bdf…c524backed Under77c14.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.43366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf38…c0f0backed Under77c14.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcd…d93ebacked Under77c14.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.37966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e7d…2353backed Under77c14.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5949…c8f3backed Under77c14.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36ec…f513backed Under78c14.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7c…efe8backed Under77c14.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ad…c852backed Under77c14.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4678…ef7fbacked Under77c14.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ce…35ccbacked Under77c14.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.