Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8d8621dad284b601487497ea3a97721f30d60dd0d2627aa643fbbf1dd6e974c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Brannof Bologna FC 1909, SK Brann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SK Brann | 73c | 10,403$7,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.71 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Bologna FC 1909 | 26c | 3,682$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.46 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Bologna FC 1909 | 27c | 1,370$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 1,249$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.9 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Bologna FC 1909 | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Bologna FC 1909 | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 27c | 974.07$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Bologna FC 1909 | 26c | 520$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SK Brann | 74c | 509.11$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed SK Brann | 74c | 400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bologna FC 1909 | 34c | 380.84$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 27c | 351.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 26c | 271$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bologna FC 1909 | 26c | 261.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed SK Brann | 79c | 240$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 46c | 108.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…ee9ebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Bologna FC 1909 | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…33d8backed SK Brann | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 39c | 78.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed SK Brann | 75c | 66.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b26…cfc5backed SK Brann | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Bologna FC 1909 | 27c | 51.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…62b3backed Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 45.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bologna FC 1909 | 30c | 39.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed SK Brann | 75c | 33.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 32.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 38c | 28.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked SK Brann | 76c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked SK Brann | 75c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)this page
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.