Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad9ef4ccb769516d0e6a64f1ad64fde82df713d7c8119610cf79827ef07b81c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,685$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 35c | 1,049$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.73 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 12c | 900$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 60c | 403.38$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.7 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 65c | 309.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 49c | 304.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 296.19$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Yes | 47c | 260$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Yes | 48c | 233.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 29c | 233$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.43 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed No | 19c | 195$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 14c | 185.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.71 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 52c | 159.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Yes | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 52c | 107.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 98.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 48c | 83.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Yes | 49c | 82.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 52c | 74.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 63c | 68.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 37c | 67.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 50c | 60.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked No | 54c | 59.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3233backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 48c | 52.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 49c | 41.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…264fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 48c | 39.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 44c | 36.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 48c | 35.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 58c | 34.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 41c | 32.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…0522backed Yes | 48c | 31.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.