Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba3f766298704088c036ce84083c9de05149b20a27e0a282247507043bebe46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kasımpaşa SKof Fenerbahçe SK, Kasımpaşa SK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kasımpaşa SK | 77c | 4,006$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.48 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kasımpaşa SK | 72c | 1,462$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.23 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Fenerbahçe SK | 27c | 1,249$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.26 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 28c | 1,182$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.28 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Kasımpaşa SK | 69c | 404.93$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Fenerbahçe SK | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Fenerbahçe SK | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kasımpaşa SK | 79c | 250.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 5,677 | 42%2,382 W · 3,295 L | +74.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Fenerbahçe SK | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Kasımpaşa SK | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Fenerbahçe SK | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Fenerbahçe SK | 30c | 109.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…a888backed Fenerbahçe SK | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 28c | 103.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fenerbahçe SK | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 996 | 52.6%524 W · 472 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Fenerbahçe SK | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Kasımpaşa SK | 70c | 88.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Kasımpaşa SK | 71c | 88.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Fenerbahçe SK | 31c | 85.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fenerbahçe SK | 24c | 85.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Fenerbahçe SK | 34c | 76.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kasımpaşa SK | 63c | 67.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 272 | 54%147 W · 125 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Kasımpaşa SK | 78c | 61.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Fenerbahçe SK | 29c | 52.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1,507 | 48.1%725 W · 782 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Fenerbahçe SK | 35c | 47.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Fenerbahçe SK | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 28c | 36.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Kasımpaşa SK | 73c | 30.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Kasımpaşa SK | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…293bbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 35c | 29.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Kasımpaşa SK | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce79…0047backed Kasımpaşa SK | 78c | 21.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…dbf8backed Kasımpaşa SK | 79c | 12.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.