Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d20b55e31d2e62cf83cf55cb2add52892fd3f6bb22016c3c15e62e34f32d806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 62c | 6,543$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.23 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 38c | 2,877$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.28 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 78c | 2,241$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 37c | 2,228$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Over | 23c | 1,300$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 10c | 1,248$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…6ba6backed Over | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 37c | 962.16$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 63c | 799.94$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.98 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 12c | 695.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Over | 37c | 405.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 393.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 10c | 373.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 12c | 350.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 37c | 325.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 36c | 279$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Over | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…2335backed Under | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…d73fbacked Over | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 230.78$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 8c | 191.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bba6backed Over | 37c | 178$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 36c | 166.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 37c | 151.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 63c | 148$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…74ffbacked Over | 33c | 122.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 62c | 121.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 64c | 108.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 65c | 93.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 35c | 93.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 39c | 87.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 14c | 81.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…7fc3backed Over | 37c | 80.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Over | 45c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 62c | 53.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Over | 31c | 50.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…a7c3backed Over | 44c | 49.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 35c | 32.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce79…0047backed Under | 75c | 30.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 29.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…ffe5backed Under | 58c | 29.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 63c | 24.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 57c | 22.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 61c | 20.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d4…f7e0backed Under | 65c | 17.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…d9b9backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed Under | 75c | 15.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.