Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49afbe6b1f0d5614260dce13f938605c3560a3d6fe4fba95e9b6ce3fb7456cf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 8,860$6,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.32 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 38c | 2,068$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 39c | 2,008$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.2 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 18c | 1,020$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.64 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Under | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 923.87$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.92 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 40c | 799.98$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdf…509dbacked Over | 8c | 792.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f63…57b9backed Under | 62c | 555$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f06…216ebacked Over | 38c | 549$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 58c | 452$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.84 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 59c | 401.32$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.48 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 19c | 378.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 11c | 347.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 60c | 329.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 37c | 216.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 180.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 22c | 162.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 62c | 141.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 21c | 139.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 21c | 138.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 62c | 132$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 25c | 127.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Over | 39c | 123$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…42d1backed Under | 61c | 109$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 61c | 103.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…264fbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 40c | 99.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Over | 40c | 99.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 38c | 91.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…ca7cbacked Under | 70c | 79.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 63c | 79.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Over | 39c | 74.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Over | 29c | 69.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 59c | 68.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 77c | 50.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…9f9cbacked Over | 39c | 45.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Over | 39c | 44.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 27c | 44.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 43.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under | 62c | 40.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 62c | 34.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…b668backed Under | 76c | 31.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 74c | 25.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…e1e1backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 63c | 23.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 73c | 19.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 78c | 19.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 74c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.