Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x518efe782e1004c789e95356c6951de0ac25961a1dfa76a69c6933521991f5a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 54c | 4,100$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.96 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 46c | 1,568$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.95 | 408 | 47.1%192 W · 216 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…9fe6backed Yes | 45c | 1,497$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 53c | 1,389$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,360$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.25 | 2,579 | 45.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 46c | 768.19$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7537…801dbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +1,751.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +275%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 52c | 499.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 49c | 322.45$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 63c | 286.67$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 49c | 280.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 46c | 270.66$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.46 | 912 | 43.3%395 W · 517 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 209.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.12 | 999 | 44.7%447 W · 552 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 36c | 192.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed No | 12c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +126%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 51c | 119.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 49c | 117$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 44c | 112.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 47c | 111.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 38c | 108$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 48c | 103.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 64c | 87.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Yes | 46c | 84.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 75.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…a474backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 675 | 53.8%363 W · 312 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 37c | 43.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 550 | 38.9%214 W · 336 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 36.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 513 | 49.3%253 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 41c | 31.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 92 | 25%23 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…c407backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 53c | 24.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 42c | 23.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 69c | 22.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 53c | 21.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Yes | 47c | 21.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.