TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c4,973$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.782,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over66c2,268$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.124575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over39c2,042$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.098042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under34c1,885$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.726659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under54c1,884$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.7216838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c1,569$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.1998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Over67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.54977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under37c1,135$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Over67c1,058$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.148463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Over63c999.99$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3705064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.893158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under62c831.36$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.3693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over32c780.09$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.466328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under34c739.46$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4133148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over57c617.2$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.7391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over40c591.88$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.714017.5%7 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over37c542.62$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.854553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over67c522.39$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.398957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7537…801dbacked Under9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45450%2 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+1,751.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under55c447.32$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over52c430$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2318858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Over65c422.19$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.813641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c373.05$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.381,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under57c362.73$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9316340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under12c334.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.712429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0310259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under10c260$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under33c249.3$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5746047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over41c238.9$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.955046%23 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fdd…4998backed Over63c211.41$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over60c200$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.515847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over42c188.1$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.117058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over44c175$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Over66c166.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over62c164.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7511161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2919353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb93d…f0c4backed Under57c159.47$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c158.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0251139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.855147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under33c151.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.255768.4%39 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2513366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over60c146.67$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6710361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over38c130$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.69440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over60c119.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.76956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6632…6dc2backed Under37c118$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e9…9ed3backed Over63c112$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Under16c110.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.533732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over46c110.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under11c110$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+126%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under34c102.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7626040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3326747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413050%15 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2415238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over49c94$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0814549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.914060%24 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed Over66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.911190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick74cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2914351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under33c87.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over50c86.28$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.285448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2118055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over60c82.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.811550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over43c81.27$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.278158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.813648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9217958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over74c65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.169561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over26c64.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.82544%11 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over39c60.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.29661.5%59 W · 37 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.828458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7903…df88backed Under44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Under42c56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1479…b778backed Over66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.03875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under33c49.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4565254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e0…132abacked Over66c45.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.46887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick74cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20c…bf55backed Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05bb…1879backed Over66c44.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.082365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over67c43.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.319750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over36c42.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.227848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.86937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1611460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245558.2%32 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Over66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under36c36.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under35c34.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.036851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under41c34.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145054%27 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50b7…9802backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69f6…4288backed Over66c30.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.452387%20 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over66c29.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.191435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x542d…63aebacked Under61c24.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under58c23.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.744136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe038…7e6abacked Over67c22.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.541681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1aa…378bbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xef20…2646backed Over67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62080%16 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked Over66c19.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.531163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e06…c8c6backed Over67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.