South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf40b3f6b2b7fa5649c2064c977f38a1715a5a343a1c7aff8f961bd0cb3d2ebe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 6,313$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.88 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Yes | 53c | 2,933$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 1,760$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.21 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 1,505$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.6 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 1,480$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.07 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 36c | 1,177$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.76 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 40c | 1,023$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.3 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…9780backed No | 2c | 833.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 60c | 833.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.42 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 43c | 820.15$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.8 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 9c | 776.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 56c | 680$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.43 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 60c | 601.25$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 436.14$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.89 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3f…a6bfbacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 16c | 301$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 40c | 236.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 42c | 219$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 49c | 214.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 55c | 181.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ff…c27fbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…3dc8backed Yes | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…4a9dbacked Yes | 56c | 133.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 60c | 130.93$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed No | 32c | 126.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 17c | 121.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 23c | 108.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 54c | 105.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…a09abacked No | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 34c | 82.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 45c | 71.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 50c | 54.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 66c | 54.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes | 71c | 51.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 39c | 41.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 43c | 39.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…1f3bbacked Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 45c | 24.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd485…871fbacked No | 48c | 22.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Yes | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 60c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Yes | 56c | 18.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 55c | 18.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Yes | 68c | 15.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…b093backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?No won
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.