Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0611b6f15009333aed879a5def68df92777674c0a1a0c6969150c0c5b28c202
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 74c | 1,028$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.6 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 954.87$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.95 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 72c | 919.38$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.47 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Over | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 28c | 277.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.78 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 68c | 196.19$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.37 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 32c | 180$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…b093backed Under | 30c | 132.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 43c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 27c | 98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 68c | 73.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 27c | 49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +9.9wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 32c | 48.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 33c | 43.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 44c | 42.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 44c | 38.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc733…efe4backed Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 69c | 24.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…2988backed Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Southampton FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.