TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Southampton FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$523,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$524,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under47c507,853$238,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238,618.793930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Over53c220,000$116,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,4003946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over53c149,903$79,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,454.5625551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over53c100,000$53,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,00024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c21,940$11,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,254.574,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.3450644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over53c3,333$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.5118259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over53c2,008$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.362,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9202050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c1,717$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.116,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c1,506$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.692,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over54c999.52$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.786959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over53c860.53$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.4585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over53c849.06$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.0649254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under45c820.62$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2830149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c789.47$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.4720054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under45c699.19$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.641,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under44c661.81$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.29153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Under44c635.95$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.823740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over55c608.58$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.7910939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under46c505.05$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.276750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over50c486.97$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.0982763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over56c345.6$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.568041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over55c291.72$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.661,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over49c229.87$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.165455.6%30 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over56c200.5$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2225348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under46c179.89$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.753345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over54c161.76$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4119145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over54c135$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.165557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over54c133.07$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2183459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c125.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c115.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.811,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over54c115$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.935157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over54c112$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5229259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1414551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over48c105.8$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.025959.3%35 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+68%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459940.4%40 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over54c93.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.831,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9120864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.427354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.432357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over57c87.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8918265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under47c84.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.621723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-52.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over48c78.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.352878.6%22 W · 6 L+9.9wins+0.35per pick43cpaid+108.5%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.511866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under46c69.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8412236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Over56c69.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.591942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x106e…28e5backed Under47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302259.1%13 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc733…efe4backed Over80c61.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under44c61.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.626958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.626158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.630554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.625456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.626058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.636758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.629057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.628255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.638358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.628359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.632158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5727955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.581747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2336259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239554.7%52 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.59152.7%48 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x546e…ec0cbacked Over56c46.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.293458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8df3…9d6bbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.47160.6%43 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.616251.2%83 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over55c38.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5129751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Over55c38.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.352751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfabc…a31bbacked Over56c38.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.921662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.822958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.817456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under51c27.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1946943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd430…78b8backed Under41c27.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c26.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Under45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72580%20 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+43%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.523658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.526959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.522858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked Over58c23.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852540%10 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over68c23.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.419851%50 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over52c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9316357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.220556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4326…c3a8backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Over55c19.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.688463.1%53 W · 31 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over80c13.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.6836554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.