Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f7a8b0b95444ad403b26d925bba12a287f654389cf0e772f06293f57169ff9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 2,264$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.93 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 31c | 1,134$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.64 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 563.5$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.47 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 55c | 390.91$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 55c | 227.93$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 44c | 221.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 57c | 137.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 19c | 130.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 56c | 106.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 46c | 87.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 54c | 77.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 71.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…b093backed Yes | 66c | 65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 50.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 46c | 42.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 55c | 27.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 56c | 21.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.