Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x842edc0ef0817667dfabc1b18de92380f38c60cac300a96f5c1f88a6aa763365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 48c | 1,456$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.68 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,277$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.92 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…e0a8backed Over | 47c | 1,043$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 52c | 269.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 49c | 236.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.43 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 53c | 187$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 47c | 179.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 53c | 138.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 52c | 115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 52c | 114.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 49c | 102.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 42c | 89.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 78.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 78.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Over | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 52c | 62.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 46c | 61.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 33.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.