Bundesliga · resolved market
SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3deb3a2293ad116af2829ea8d3e883794d590edf852fd22d15e287a4d4e9aa07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,093$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.96 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 40c | 954.67$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.87 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 60c | 888$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 33c | 741.85$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.44 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 67c | 448.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.06 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 61c | 399.98$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 60c | 353.2$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 61c | 245.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 61c | 229.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 27c | 190$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 155.05$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…b093backed No | 69c | 106.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked No | 41c | 89.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 25c | 84.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 46c | 63.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 46c | 52.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 61c | 47.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 61c | 37.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…9b6bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed No | 41c | 32.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed No | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Under won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Under won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.